Damir Dzumhur vs Luka Pavlovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In evaluating the upcoming tennis match between Dzumhur and Pavlovic, several performance indicators provide a comprehensive outlook. Taking a closer look at second-serve performance over the past six months, Dzumhur has secured 49.51% of points on his second serve, slightly surpassing Pavlovic's 48.1%. This particular statistic is crucial, as it strongly correlates with the accuracy of match predictions, offering insight into each player's baseline consistency.

Return game statistics further tilt the balance. Dzumhur, in recent form, has excelled by winning 45.56% of his opponent's second serve points, compared to 41.83% achieved by Pavlovic. On first serve returns, Dzumhur continues to show superiority with a win rate of 32.18%, contrasted with Pavlovic's 20.04%. Such metrics are instrumental in determining which player may be favored in head-to-head contests, underscoring their ability to capitalize on their opponents' serve disadvantages.

When it comes to handling high-pressure situations, both players display resilience. Dzumhur has managed to save 50.58% of break points, closely mirroring Pavlovic's 50.64%. This particular data point is particularly useful for in-game betting predictions when assessing players' abilities to navigate critical match moments.

The performance overview over the past year shows that Dzumhur has won 63.41% of his matches, compiling a win-loss record of 52-30. Meanwhile, Pavlovic stands out with a 76.12% win rate, posting a 51-16 record. Despite the seemingly balanced outcomes, it is essential to consider the context of their match settings. Dzumhur's strongest showing is on Clay, where he boasts a 63% career win rate, while his Grass performance lingers at 48%. Pavlovic, on the other hand, sees his best success on Clay with a 65% win rate, but struggles on indoor hard courts with a 40% win rate.

Analyzing the player level, Dzumhur primarily competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments with over $10,000 prize money, holding a 75.93% win percentage in those events. In contrast, Pavlovic frequently plays in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with $10,000 prize money, where he shines with an 82.35% win rate. The relative event level is a significant consideration when predicting the favorite. Adding to the complexity, over the last year, Dzumhur has faced opponents with an average rank of 222.18, while Pavlovic's adversaries averaged a rank of 323.36.

In matches that proceeded to a deciding set, Dzumhur maintained a commanding 73% victory rate, narrowly outpacing Pavlovic's 71%. This statistic is helpful for live predictions and betting scenarios in tightly contested matchups. Furthermore, examining break-point conversion, Dzumhur's efficiency is notable, converting 40.25% of his opportunities, overshadowing Pavlovic's 22.08% conversion rate. Such figures highlight crucial moments when forecasting potential match outcomes.

Based on these comprehensive statistical comparisons, Dzumhur emerges as the more likely victor, demonstrating a combination of superior return game effectiveness, decisive set performance, and higher-level opponent competition, which together form a compelling case for his anticipated success in this matchup.